Coming Home Isn't the Same as Showing Up

What Republican Enthusiasm and Crossover Voting in Texas, Iowa, and Ohio Reveal About the 2026 Midterms

Oct 15 • Mike Sistak

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Back to the Future? The Math Behind the 2026 Midterms

We don’t have Biff’s Sports Almanac to predict Election Day, but history, polling and voter sentiment are telling us plenty about where this election is…

Oct 6 • Mike Sistak

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September 2026

Well, that moved left

The 50-state generic ballot has shifted toward Democrats everywhere since 2024

Sep 24 • Mike Sistak

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The Midterm Curse: Nice Pitch. Shame About the Outcome.

From FDR to Trump, presidents have tried to defend their records, attack the opposition, and promise voters more. History shows it rarely it works.

Sep 15 • Mike Sistak

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Is a wave election building for 2026?

What history says about large shifts in the partisan environment

Sep 8 • Mike Sistak

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The future is now

The midterms enter a new phase as early voting begins

Sep 1 • Mike Sistak

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July 2026

War, Public Opinion & the Midterms

What history tells us about the conflict with Iran

Jul 2 • Mike Sistak

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June 2026

The warning signs from the most consistent group of voters

And why it should worry Republicans

Jun 25 • Mike Sistak

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Issues still matter in elections

And what both parties are getting wrong about them

Jun 18 • Mike Sistak

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The Senate map is more competitive than it appears

Even if Republicans still hold the edge for now

Jun 13 • Mike Sistak

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Yes, Ken Paxton could lose Texas

But it's not for the reasons you expect

Jun 7 • Mike Sistak

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May 2026

The Art of the Midterm Disaster

Would a generic president be this sunk?

May 29 • Mike Sistak

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